Canadian Personal Finance Blog

As has been pointed out by both Canadian Capitalist and Michael James the Bank of Canada’s 1/2 point rate drop has not been reflected by the major banks yet, in terms of Mortgage rates (especially in longer term mortgages). Short term mortgages and credit vehicles that are typically based on the Prime interest rate, do reflect this dropping, but longer terms (greater than 6 months) certainly do not reflect this drop.

Why are Mortgage Rates not Lower? Darn good question. Currently the TD Bank’s prime rate is 4.75% and that is also what they are charging on their variable rate 6 month mortgage, however, after that the rates start climbing, to a maximum of 7.75% for a ten year fixed rate mortgage (more than twice the current Bank of Canada rate).

Remember that all rates posted on these sites are negotiable in some fashion or another, and here we come to the real core of this post.

If the bank says, “We don’t negotiate Mortgage rates”, simply leave, and call a Mortgage Broker and you might be surprised that the Broker can get a cheaper rate from the exact same bank (and remember the Broker makes money on this too).

Banks Need You

Remember, if you are a good credit risk and you want to truss yourself up with a long term debt like a Mortgage, the Banks want you! They want your business, and they want your money passing through them. They want you even more, if you carry balances on your Credit Cards, but let’s not go to that subject today, but remember, the bank wants your business, and keep that in mind.

When you are talking to a bank about Mortgage rates and such, it is an excellent time to discuss getting Free Banking too. This corporation wants your business, now is the time to be asking (or demanding) for the best deal you can get. Be prepared to talk to a few banks, and also be prepared to be promiscuous with that information, tell the banks the deals other banks are offering you, and see if they will match the deal or even make a better deal (I don’t suggest lying, mostly because I am a lousy bluffer or liar, being dishonest isn’t the way to go).

Let me be honest, I am awful at negotiating, but I am learning that it is an important skill to develop, so I work on it. It is all a game for me, and getting the best deal I can, is the goal of the game. A really good tactic is to get friends or family to tell you what deal they got, and see if you can beat that deal. You may not get that deal, but maybe you’ll get a better deal, you never know, until you negotiate.

The only thing I can tell you for sure, if you do not try to negotiate, you will not get a good deal from the bank. Strangely the opposite of this is not true (i.e. if you negotiate you will get the best deal), but, if you don’t negotiate, I promise you will not get a good deal (unless your father or mother or a relative owns the bank or works at the bank, but then you are playing the game by using connections, so go for it).

Holy cow, interest rates dropped by 0.50% as set by the Bank of Canada, which means it is even easier to borrow money in Canada.

The recent price-level adjustments for automobiles and the effect of past changes in indirect taxes will keep measured inflation below target through 2008. The emergence of excess supply in the economy should keep downward pressure on inflation through 2009. Both core and total inflation are projected to move up to 2 per cent in 2010, as the economy moves back into balance. There are both upside and downside risks to the Bank’s new projection for inflation; these risks appear to be balanced.

In line with this outlook, some further monetary stimulus will likely be required to achieve the inflation target over the medium term. Given the cumulative reduction in the target for the overnight rate of 150 basis points since December, the timing of any further monetary stimulus will depend on the evolution of the global economy and domestic demand, and their impact on inflation in Canada.

Is this really a good thing?

Good Things about Interest Rate Cuts

Some things that are good about this bank rate cut (assuming the banks follow suit with this rate cut):

1. Your monthly payments will get lower if you have a variable rate of interest credit vehicle (e.g. Line of Credit or Secure Line of Credit). Should you lower your monthly payments? NO! Keep them at the level they currently are, and you start paying down this debt quicker. This is when you get more bang for your bucks!
2. Easier for businesses to borrow money, and thus more chance for expansion and maybe more jobs? Let’s hope that is the case.
3. The stock market looks more attractive an investment vehicle, as interest bearing investment vehicles now pay even less. You should start thinking about consulting with a professional or learn yourself about how to invest intelligently in the stock market (no you won’t learn that here).

Are there downsides to this?

Downsides of Lower Interest Rates

Could there be a downside to this? You bet!

1. Interest bearing investment vehicles which pay next to nothing, now pay even closer to nothing. Bonds and such become even less attractive to invest in. Folks on fixed income that are relying on these type of investments, now may have less disposable income. Maybe take your Grandma out for lunch?
2. People may think it’s a great time to borrow MORE money. Um, NO! If you have been holding off on a big purchase like a house, yes, you may have hit the jackpot here, however, if you are simply refinancing your credit card debt for the Nth time, think again!
3. Your credit card’s monthly interest rate will not be dropping. Isn’t that surprising? The interest rates go up when interest rates go up, however, they don’t drop when interest rates drop. Your pay day loan isn’t going to drop it’s credit rate either.
4. The Canadian dollar will drop in value against the American Dollar, which will translate to higher prices, especially for Gasoline (the root of all price evils).

In Ottawa we have a very flamboyant Mayor who came in to power with the statement that he was not going to raise taxes. This statement (I won’t call it a promise) seems to have disappeared and the latest levy he is talking about is a $50.00 surcharge per tax payer and business due to the high amount of snow in Ottawa this year (the snow clearing budget is over budget at least $23 M so far).

Last year we didn’t have a lot of snow, and this same fund ran a surplus, but I never saw a nickel back in my taxes. In fact this fund has run surpluses for the past N years, yet whenever that happened, no money came back to me directly, but now that Mother Nature has stepped in, I must now find more money to pay for bad planning? If I make the bad plan, I am the one that has to live with it, and I must live with the consequences (yes I still complain), but now I must fork out more money, due to there being no emergency fund for excessive snow? Larry, drop by my house and see if you can convince me I should pay this tax, because I don’t think you’ll get me on side with this one.

Easter Charity

I was very impressed to see John Chow campaigning for donations to a soup kitchen in the Vancouver area. John actually matched all donations, and managed to raise over $7,000 for that charity, and I applaud him for that.

For local Ottawa readers, the Shepherds of Good Hope is a mission that I support when I can, given I used to work up the road from them, and I have seen first hand the good works that they do. Remember Easter is a time of renewal and a time of giving.

Scary Statement for the Day

After the U.S. Fed lowered yet another of their key rates by 3/4% one analyst was actually heard to say, “I wouldn’t be surprised to see a rate of 0%…”, I almost fell out of my chair when I heard that one. I think this constant dropping of interest rate may help in the short run, but it is not resolving the main issues which is massive DEBT problems in North America. People are living outside of their financial capabilities, and it is eventually going to cause something very bad to happen.

Carnivals This Week

This week my posting The Seduction of Spending was mentioned in The Carnival of Everything Financial #15 hosted by Everything Financial .

The title of a great song by the Boomtown Rats, but also maybe how I feel today (Saint Patrick’s Day aside).

That’s a Bargain?

Bear Stearns was sold for a pittance to JPMorgan/Chase for $2.00 per share, given Bear Stearns was worth over $150 a year ago, and they were the #5 investment bank in the states, this is going to mean some great nasty cogitations on the markets today. Remember your investing plan if you have one and stick to your guns, but also remember your thresholds on when you want to sell and what you value in stocks too.

Is this the end of all of this? No, I think there is more of this to come folks so batten down your hatches, because this is going to be a bumpy ride.

U.S. Fed Cuts Rates to 3.25%

The Fed in the U.S. in a weekend move surprise for Saint Patrick’s day cut their Emergency Lending rate to institutions to 3.25% from 3.5%, wonder if they got wind of this Bear Stearns thing and tried to preempt another melt down? Who knows, but the move will drive the American dollar further down but might cause some optimism in the stock market (where optimism is a relative term, that is for sure).

Taxes Done?

Better think about getting those taxes done soon folks, because each day you wait will add at least 5 days onto how much longer it will take to get your refund from the government (if you are getting one that is). Of course if you owe money it might be good to wait until the latest day you could too.

Roof Shoveling

Here is one of those “value for what you pay things”, there have been many tragic roof collapses in Quebec and in Ontario due to the high volume of snow on some folks roofs, and people have been taking it upon themselves to go onto their own roofs to clear the snow off. Let me point out the danger and stupidity of this, and that yes if you fall off you might land in some fluffy snow, that is covering up your kids play structure or possibly your deck!

If you are worried contact a roofing company to come out and check on your roof and pay them to send someone up on your roof to stomp around and remove the snow. It is well worth the money spent and you are not the one who might fall off too!