Now that is overspending

This was written way back in 2009 and now we know that the US Fed (and Canadian too) have a deficit bigger than that. This is all part of Modern Money Theory which I do not think works, but only time will tell. Debt is always a bad thing in my book.

That is a Credit Card Debt!

Here in Canada we are flagelating our government because they are going to be running a budget deficit (they are going to spend more than they make this year) of over $50B, and rightfully so, given we have been runnnig surpluses for several years (i.e. making more than we spend), however we are humble overspenders compared to our brothers to the south (the USA). The estimate now is that this year the US Federal Government will run a deficit (remember that is overspending this year’s budget) of over $1 Trillion, wow.

That is effectively the same as giving every single human being on the earth (assuming the Trillion they are talking about is 10 to the power of 12) $140.00, this year.  Canada’s deficit would only give every human a paultry $7 , as you can see we Canadians are small time in this overspending world.

How will this be remedied in either country. Some are arguing in both cases there are 1 time bail outs that do not reflect actual spending habits (Bank Bail outs, Car Company Bail outs, etc.,), and that may well be the case, but what is going to be the fall out trying to pay back this deficit? Canada had been paying back the National Debt (i.e. the money we owe, from accumulated deficits over the years) however this latest set back is not a good thing.

As with personal finance every time a deficit is run for a year, it will eventually need to be paid back, Live Now but you will Pay A Lot More Later.

Local Ponzi News

If you think Bernie Madoff is a uniquely American issue, think again, evidently a new collapsed Ponzi scheme has been uncovered in Montreal. Earl Jones, the advisor in question is missing, as is all of his “clients” money as well.

This begs the question, do you trust your financial advisor? Are you sure you know where all your money is, and why it’s there?


Stocks: What is the Bottom?

Initially written in 2008 in the middle of the biggest stock market plunge (until then). Luckily things always get worse?

Buy Low and Sell High is the trite advice any moron will give you about the stock market or any other major purchase, but the more important question isWhat is the Bottom?“.

The better question is, “Is now the bottom?” and as usual, my non-committal answer is, “It depends.”

Is it the bottom for IBM? Most likely, it is near the bottom for them, they have announced good numbers, have a sound business model and look like they have a plan for the next five years, and the same can be said for companies like Cisco too since they have such a large monopoly in their area of high tech.

Is Google at the bottom? I have no idea since I still have no idea how Google can be worth that much, but that is my opinion as a High Tech Skeptic (maybe an honorary title, but well deserved). I don’t believe in their business model, and I have no confidence in making money, aside from Advertising. 

Is Nortel at the bottom? I asked that same question when the stock was at $90 in 2000, so you can guess what my answer might be today as well (given they are at $0.19 compared to that $90 today). Remember what Garth Turner said in my post, “And He’s An Expert?

Are Canadian Banks at the bottom? Hard to tell. Some seem to be, TD Canada Trust and RBC seem to be near a bottom, as does BMO, but CIBC’s continued exposure to the mess in the states makes them a little more enjoyable too. I have invested in banks in the past week, just for disclosure’s sake.

Please do not take these opinions as advice. They are simply me stating my opinion. You should (as always) make your decisions with as much information as you can and consult reputable sources for this information.

Hopefully, these depressed stock prices will hang around ’til the new year. That would be a great time to open a TFSA and then take advantage of lots of growth in a sheltered account like that (wouldn’t it?).

Buy Equities, Warren Buffet Says So

Is that reason enough to go out and buy equities? I have no idea, however, interestingly, Warren Buffet is saying in an article in the New York Times, “Buy American I am,” that he is putting his money into U.S. equities now. 

The article does have a Canadian Financial Angle, as Mr. Buffet points out here:

Equities will almost certainly outperform cash over the next decade, probably by a substantial degree. Those investors who cling to cash are betting they can efficiently time their move away from it later. In waiting for the comfort of good news, they are ignoring Wayne Gretzky’s advice: “I skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been.”

Anybody who quotes Wayne Gretzky can’t be wrong, can they?

Then again, some might say, “Equity Investment is the Devil’s Work!” only time will tell who is right.


Did I say Interesting Times?

Financial Meltdown Continues (aka I really don’t like Mondays)

Well, just when you thought it was safe to go swimming in the Amazon, a fresh batch of piranhas come out and chew the living daylights out of you. Yesterday, I watched the TSX dip below 10,000 for the first time in almost 6 years, and while there was a ‘recovery’ of sorts by the end of the day, the roller coaster continues to swerve, dip and dive making even the most ardent investors sweat a great deal. 

My RRSP as it stands now seems to have lost about 20% of its value, and it may well dip a lot lower before things start getting back to normal. Is this a concern? Not really, since the money is for my alleged retirement, which is many years away, and most of the equities I own are fine (OK some of the banks I wonder about), but I am not planning on getting “Whip Sawed” as Michael James points out. I will continue on the course I have chosen for now.

Why Am I not Financially Panicking?

Well, I am trying to be more optimistic for one thing (yes, I am not succeeding all the time), but I also am about to inject a great deal of cash into my retirement, to be invested in some fashion, and for once, I think I may enjoy shopping for bargains in this BEAR of a market. 

My wife and I (Mrs. C8j as we call her) will need to put together a plan for investing and put together a budget with some “bear” assumptions to get us through to next year, with the severance I have just received, but with those decisions will come the interesting questions of where to invest? Most of the financial bloggers I know will be getting that question asked to them (once I can get them over a beer or two), and that is one of the reasons I am smiling during this grim financial time.

Could it get worse financially?

Never ask that question. Every time in my life that I have stated, “It can’t get any worse…”, it has, so I have stopped asking that question, or making that statement. Follow the lawyer’s credo in this situation, “Never ask a question you don’t already know the answer to…”.

Remember many things can happen, the Horses Might Even Sing!


Who(m)ever inherits this mess in the U.S. or Canada, I wish you good luck, because you are being left holding the bag, and as usual, the culprits (as it were) are enjoying the fruits of their labours, on our nickel (not that I am pointing a finger of blame, just that I know someone made money on this, and they aren’t giving any of it back).

For the rest of either electoral race, the simple answer to any other issue is


to paraphrase Bill Clinton’s campaign of 1992. Nothing else matters, now.


Tomorrow watch for a celebration of sorts on this blog, celebrating 4 years of work and the fun I have had doing it (unless today brings even worse news, then I’ll push it out another day).

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