Thursday caused the world to stop worrying about the Financial Apocalypse and start worrying about the demise of their Celebrity Aristocracy with the deaths of Ed McMahon, Farrah Fawcett and finally Michael Jackson. I remember seeing Farrah Fawcett on the wall of most boys my age bedroom, and hearing her passing makes me feel a little older.
When celebrities die, does that change the economic climate? Hey anything is possible in this day and age, maybe we will see the Michael Jackson recovery?
With the summer coming is there an economic malaise about to fall? We shall see:
The LCBO and their union decided not to turn off the liquor spigot, and thus the mad rush on Tuesday simply meant that the shelves on Wednesday needed a lot of restocking (and lots of profits for the LCBO as well). For those who rushed out, guess you can have a BIG party for Canada Day, or you can keep your stockpile, for another holiday? There is a tentative deal in place and now we can all look forward to a boozy summer (whoo hoo!).
Unfortunately for Toronto their strike continues on and their garbage continues to stack up. With the heat this week, might make for some very aromatic issues in Toronto.
Interest rates in the U.S. will stay the same for now, said the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.
The prices of energy and other commodities have risen of late. However, substantial resource slack is likely to dampen cost pressures, and the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time.
Good to hear, but energy prices going back up is going to whiplash on food prices as well, so inflation being low may be wishful thinking on their part.
With Summer coming very soon (on Sunday in fact), and Father’s Day on the same day this weekend looks to be an eventful one for us all.
Financially the week has seen the Nortel CEO Mike Z. standing in front of a group of Canadian politicians and saying, “It simply wasn’t feasible to pay severance,” , you have to respect his chutzpah, but when he started saying he might not get his sweetheart pension, I think he lost all credibility. With the CPI at 0.1% we are in interesting areas where allegedly our prices are not rising, yet the price of food is up 7.1% over 12 months, so the numbers are actually hiding a big issue (i.e. the poor and fixed income folks dealing with huge food price increases). Evidently this means our interest rates may stay as low as they are for a while longer, which is just wild (IMHO).
Some interesting posts from my regular reads on the Financial blogging front:
Stay tuned this weekend, there may not be a video interlude, but there might be something even more interesting. Enjoy the start of summer and remember to call your Dad on Father’s Day!
Stats Canada published their May 2009 numbers today and it is up but only 0.1% over the previous twelve months, which is good to see (for those of us who worry about inflation). This means that prices are supposedly only up 1/10 of 1% over the previous twelve months (as close as you can get to ZERO (without being zero)).
The number is a little deceiving since the report does say:
The slowdown in the 12-month Consumer Price Index (CPI) was primarily the result of an 18.3% year-over-year price drop for energy products. Excluding energy, the CPI rose 2.3%.
Thus without the drop in gas and energy prices CPI is actually around 2.3% which sounds more realistic. With the spiking of gas and oil prices for the summer this could make for more interesting numbers in the coming months, unfortunately.
The following graph is even more interesting and shows just how volatile gas prices have been for the past little while:
So how did all of this break down? Energy prices down a great deal, however, food prices are UP a large amount as well, so we have two volatile components in the index, whereas most other components are quite calm.
This does not bode well for those on fixed incomes having to deal with higher food prices (as well as those that are living near the poverty line).
As usual I am including the “big table” to show you the components of the CPI and where the biggest jumps are:
| Relative importance | May 2008 | May 2009 | April 2008 to April 2009 | May 2008 to May 2009 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unadjusted | |||||
| % change | |||||
| All-items | 100.00 | 114.6 | 114.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Food | 17.04 | 114.6 | 121.9 | 7.1 | 6.4 |
| Shelter | 26.62 | 121.6 | 121.4 | 0.2 | -0.2 |
| Household operations and furnishings | 11.10 | 104.3 | 107.6 | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Clothing and footwear | 5.36 | 93.0 | 93.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Transportation | 19.88 | 123.6 | 113.5 | -8.0 | -8.2 |
| Health and personal care | 4.73 | 108.6 | 112.1 | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| Recreation, education and reading | 12.20 | 102.9 | 103.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Alcoholic beverages and tobacco products | 3.07 | 127.4 | 131.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 |
| All-items (1992=100) | 136.4 | 136.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | |
| Special aggregates | |||||
| Goods | 48.78 | 110.4 | 108.1 | -2.0 | -2.1 |
| Services | 51.22 | 118.7 | 121.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| All-items excluding food and energy | 73.57 | 110.3 | 111.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Energy | 9.38 | 158.4 | 129.4 | -17.5 | -18.3 |
| Core CPI | 82.71 | 111.5 | 113.7 | 1.8 | 2.0 |