For those of you who believe that all of the financial crisis of today are something new, I’d like to remind you that we are reliving history in some ways (over, and over, and over again).
The NFB has another very interesting feature film about another Debt Crisis, but this one happens in the 80’s.
This feature documentary reveals how Bank of Montreal chairman William Mulholland dealt with his debt-laden customers Dome Petroleum and Mexico during the global debt crisis of ’82. Interviews with bankers and financial experts demystify the causes of debt crisis, confirm the fragility of the international banking system and outline the problems to be solved if the system is to survive.
This is over 38 years ago, but a global debt crisis, how could that happen again? Hmmm….
I figured after my vitriolic rant of yesterday about the Globe and Mail survey of Financial Blogs, I might get a few responses or comments but heard nothing. I guess it’s hard to tell whether the crazy guy standing on the Corner yelling about conspiracies is being Ironic, Sarcastic or Just Crazy!.I have been told that I do crazy well, so please be assured I will not be fire bombing the offices of the Globe and Mail any time in the foreseeable future. Hopefully all the links I gave back to Preet may win me the iPad he is giving away (in which case he can win the contest, if I get a new Tech Toy).
As for BP and their lovely Top Kill idea, just goes to show that it is a lot harder than you think to stop oil from spewing from the earth’s crust, than you thought it might be. I do love the Media’s need to associate catch phrases with each idea put forward. I’d go for the “Stop the Darn Oil from Spewing” plan, might be the best of the bunch.
Given the tremendous heat wave in Southern and Eastern Ontario, it was good to see the Hydro Grid stay functioning in my happy part of the world. Remember to look here to see where the power is out in Ontario (of course if it is out where you live, you may have some problems getting to this site).
In the financial blogs this week, some very interesting stuff (remember to follow me on Twitter most of these posts I have already put on my Twitter feed as well):
A Penny saved is a penny earned is an expression Michael James would like to stamp out in his piece Endless Debate About the Penny, I like the penny, it’s a magical monetary item.
The Darling of the Globe and Mail: Preet, gives us a useful hint on How to Do a Background Check on Your Advisor which makes sense since you are most likely giving them access to a great deal of sensitive information about you.
Rob Carrick points out that lazy sods like me who didn’t do anything about their Bond positions, even though all experts were saying, Run away it’s the end of the bond world! may have been lucky in Bad Financial predictions? No, just bad timing good timing for me, bad timing for the prediction, that works.
Larry MacDonald is showing some skepticism when it comes to the new National Securities regulator in his piece: National Securities regulator no help, I suspect his concerns are well founded (unfortunately).
Hopefully this weekend is not as sweltering, and maybe a little rain would be nice to cause my grass not to crunch as much as it does now.
Remember to put on some sun screen, I did see the most painful thing I could think of which was someone who had just had a tatoo done (had that plastic covering on it), however they had also got a severe sunburn in that area as well, double ouch!
The video’s content is no more in depth than most of the Magazine articles I have seen on this topic, however, it does do a very good job of putting a face on the victims of this crime, and that is what makes this video intriguing to me.
Bernie Madoff was not just a Wall Street insider, he was the Wall Street insider, and because of his positions on the NASDAQ board, and his investment house, he was the last person to be suspected to be running a Ponzi scheme, however, as we have learned, it is always the least likely ones that seem to be the biggest perpetrators of this kind of scheme.
The video outlines Madoff’s rise to legitimacy, and gives some useful background on the Ponzi Scheme and about the man who was first caught running this kind of scam Charles Ponzi . The main allure of these kind of schemes seems to be at a few social levels:
Exclusivity is a good lure, if the scheme does not allow just anyone in, more people want to join it. To quote Groucho Marx, “… I would never join a club that would allow me to be a member…”.
The person who runs the scheme is typically a Sociopath, or has an inate ability to manipulate family and friends into investing. These schemes start with family, friends and then goes after communities (fellow church goers, as an example).
The video does a very good job outlining how regular intelligent (and in this case very rich) people and institutions (many hedge funds were highly invested in Madoff’s scheme) were duped by this man.
At times I found myself feeling very little sympathy for the investors who lost their money (which is an awful thing, and I feel ashamed that I do), but at times you keep asking, “How did you fall for this?”. I then remember how much money I lost on Nortel and feel even more ashamed, for reveling in these people’s plight (i.e. everyone can be fooled at some time, by a slick operator).
In the words of Gordon Gecko “… greed is good…” is every one’s credo, when it comes to money (OK, most people).
I found this video entertaining, a little insightful, but I didn’t pay any money for it, and I am not sure I would buy it, but getting it from the library made it a fun 50 minute watch.
There is also another documentary about how we are heading for the next great depression, which I didn’t watch.
This was an unsolicited review (for disclosure sake).
One of the more cliche statements most financial planners, and financial advisers make is that you should have a Rainy Day fund, but what do they really mean by this statement?
The easy answer is, they want you to save for the future to make sure if there is some heinous and unexpected expense that arises (e.g. the car breaks down, the furnace blows up, etc., etc.,) you will have funds enough to deal with this surprise expense. This is a simple concept, and really points out that with money you cannot just live in the here and now, you must plan for the future, even if you are not sure what that future might be.
A tin can or piggy bank in your house. Surprisingly there are some folks who still use this methodology, where they put their change and found moneys away, and every period of time they empty it out and put it in a savings vehicle. This is actually good, except that the money sitting at home has 1 or 2 dangers too:
The money is way too available to you, and can easily be used for an impulse buy, and thus is lost for your rainy day.
You may forget you have this secret stash, and thus it will sit in the coffee can not growing for a long time.
A savings account. This is a good place to put it, given it is not as available to you as the coffee can, but savings accounts don’t pay much in terms of interest, but they also don’t tend to lose value either (unless you pay ridiculous service fees for use of the account).
Your TFSA, yes that brand new savings vehicle could be your “Rainy Day” fund, and it fits the model quite nicely. If the account is a trading account, then you can get nice gains (but also risk losses as well, as you always do when you invest in equities). The nice part about the TFSA is if you take your money out, it’s growth is tax free, and you don’t lose that savings space in your TFSA either.
Your RRSP, well that is a really rainy day you are saving for. That money is a lot farther away from your usage, you get a tax break for putting it in, but you get penalized when you take it out, but it is still a place to put your Rainy Day funds.
An RESP for your kids, is a rainy day fund of a kind, since it is saving for your kids education, and is designed to make their entry into University a less traumatic experience (for you).
An RDSP is another long term savings vehicle to help your kids or loved ones, if and when you are not around (a very rainy day).
Paying off your debts is an interesting twist on the Rainy Day fund. If you pay down your debt, you will have more debt room later if you need to borrow, and if you pay off your debt quickly, you can then build up savings and create a real Rainy Day fund.
Are there other Rainy day savings vehicles I am missing? Ponzi schemes? Pyramid schemes? Tulip futures? Any ideas posted in the comments would be appreciated.
Cry havoc and let slip the dogs of war!!!!
All right I have had enough of being treated as a second class financial blogger by the Globe and Mail, they announced The Best Canadian Money Blogs as voted on by their readers, and I was nowhere to be seen! The winners were WhereDoesAllMyMoneyGo and Squawkfox ?!?!?!? This is an outrage, much like when the Montreal Expos were taken away and put into Washington to become the Senators!!! I shall not rest until this wrong has been avenged!!!!
Congrats to the two winning sites and to all the other participants, it is an honour to have even been mentioned with them.
After a joyful end of week where the stock market went back in the tank, but Gas prices dropped before the Victoria Day long weekend (that is really weird), we also got some news from Stats Canada about the Consumer Price Index for April 2010.
Consumer Prices rose 1.8% year over year in April (compared to March’s smaller 1.4% increase year over year). This again brings back the evil specter of Interest Rate increases by the bank of Canada very soon, but then again, who knows?
Graph of Year over Year CPI increases for the Past While
Again energy prices seem to be pushing the index up, but now that Oil prices are again dropping (as are Gasoline prices), what will that mean for the summer?
Overall, energy prices rose 9.8% between April 2009 and April 2010, following a 5.8% increase during the 12-month period to March. Excluding energy, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.1% compared with a 1.0% increase in March.
Gasoline prices exerted the strongest upward pressure on the all-items CPI for the sixth consecutive month. In April, prices at the pump were 16.3% higher than they were in April 2009. This follows a 17.2% rise in the 12 months to March.
So simple arithmetic suggests that dropping gas and energy prices might cause next month’s numbers to be better? We shall see, is the guess there.
The other problem is that Gas increases cause ripple effect price increases, which may be felt later in the year, as well.
The Really Big Table
Yes, I love to include this table (which you can find at Stats Canada as well), to show just where all this increase seems to go (I have boldened the biggest increases on the table):