Consumers rarely do anything unless they feel they get something out of it. I keep wondering what savings motivating system banks could put in place?
Canadians are notorious for loving rewards systems, where they can accumulate points for later purchases, maybe something like that? A points system that would pay more monthly, the more money you had in your savings account?
I think I am on to something here, if banks paid people these points that they could use to purchase things, that might motivate people to save more money.
A Savings Motivating Refinement
What if this point system allowed you to swap points for money? Better still what if you didn’t accumulate points for having more savings, you accumulated money? Money that would be added to your account balance, and then the next month you might accumulate more money because of this added money?
This is possibly the greatest idea ever to motivate consumers to save money, isn’t it?
A while ago I showed how the simple PMT() function in Excel can be used to estimate your periodic mortgage payments, if you have all the pertinent information. Today we can use that information to build a mortgage schedule to show your mortgage payments and how they change your Mortgage Principle over time.
First a clarification, as was pointed out by one of my commenters, the PMT() function gives you the wrong periodic payment, due to Canadian Mortgages having their interest compounded semi-annually (twice a year) because in the U.S. it is compounded annually. The fix for this is to change the first entry in your PMT function from:
Annual Interest Rate/12 months: which assumes only an annual compounding
( (AnnualInterest Rate/2 + 1) ^ (2/12) -1 ) which compensates for the semi-annual compounding
I like a Mortgage Schedule Table, just because it gives you the ability to understand where you stand in terms of paying off your loans.
Each row of the table will show a payment, how it breaks down in terms of interest and principle payment and how much principle remains after each payment (sounds simple doesn’t it, well it is):
Let’s try this example and show some of the sheet. Assume a $100,000 Mortgage, with an interest rate of 5.95% compounded semi-annually, with a 25 year pay back with monthly payments. We use the PMT() function to find out that our monthly payment will be $636.84.
The sheet layout is the following:
Column 1 is the date of each payment
You can do this for bi-weekly, but I did monthly to make it easy to increment from month to month you simple do =DATE(YEAR(A12),MONTH(A12)+1,DAY(A12))
Column 2 shows the real monthly payment
We already calculated that using the PMT() function
Column 3 calculation of how much each payment goes towards the Interest
This is = Previous balance * Interest rate for that payment period
Column 4 calculation of how much each payment goes to the principle
Total payment – Interest Payment = Principle payment
Column 5 the remaining balance on the loan
Previous Balance – Principle Payment
Column 6 total interest paid on the loan so far.
Previous Interest total + Interest Paid on this payment
No matter how hard you shake or sift it, you know what you will have, and it isn’t Gold (unless your cat swallowed your Gold Ring or a Krugerrand).
I read that on Postsecret this week and thought it would be a fantastic title. I believe that is an excellent commentary on building up Debt for a better lifestyle, and speaking of interest rates:
Bank of Canada Rates Stay the Same in October 2012
Yes the Bank of Canada decided loose money in Canada is still a really good thing, so they continue on with their existing over night rate of 1.0%, for now. There really wasn’t a big reason to raise rates, since inflation looks under control, however, debt loads are not dropping much either, so there may be a pre-emptive strike by the Central Bank coming in the near future, if you are to believe some of their rhetoric lately.
Core inflation has been lower than expected in recent months, reflecting somewhat softer prices across a wide range of goods and services. Core inflation is expected to increase gradually over coming quarters, reaching 2 per cent by the middle of 2013 as the economy gradually absorbs the current small degree of slack, the growth of labour compensation remains moderate and inflation expectations stay well-anchored. Total CPI inflation has fallen noticeably below the 2 per cent target, as expected, and is projected to return to target by the end of 2013, somewhat later than previously anticipated.
Lower than expected? Given the rest of the world’s economies are in the crapper, where would the inflation be coming from? If anything Canada could have a Deflationaryperiod if the strength of the Canadian dollar is finally reflected in consumer goods (why is the Retail Price of all things still more expensive in Canada?).
Policy Changes ?
As a parting threat the Bank of Canada did say:
Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. Over time, some modest withdrawal of monetary policy stimulus will likely be required, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target. The timing and degree of any such withdrawal will be weighed carefully against global and domestic developments, including the evolution of imbalances in the household sector.
So be warned, scary monetary policies may be coming soon! The Zombie Bank Rate Apocalypse might be around the corner! Think of the children!!!
As usual our Friends at Stats Canada published a mixed bag of news with their CPI Report for September 2012, however the CPI (inflation) is back down to low(er) levels at 1.2%, even with food prices and energy prices fluctuating a great deal over the past few months.
Consumer prices rose 1.2% in the 12 months to September, matching the increase in August. Higher energy prices, particularly for gasoline and electricity, led the advance in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September. This was tempered by lower year-over-year price increases for the purchase of passenger vehicles and for food purchased from stores.
So inflation is remaining at a stable rate, however, remember that is simply saying that prices are increasing at the same rate (not the prices are not rising).
Energy prices again were the culprit last month for a year over year inflation increase, as Energy prices increased (year over year) by 2.9% which while small(ish) is still twice the inflation level. Gas prices certainly have been all over the place in Ottawa, but they are back down to $1.20 for now (after a big jump around the long weekend, what an interesting coincidence).
The CPI for the past little while, with and withOUT energy included in the index
The preceding graph is important to look at and think about. Energy prices also have a nasty effect of rippling into other price increases (since energy rolls into transportation for food and other products). What parts of energy are increasing?
Gasoline prices rose 4.7% in the 12 months to September, following a 2.2% gain the previous month. Compared with August, higher year-over-year price increases for gasoline were recorded in eight provinces, most notably in the Atlantic region.
The cost of electricity rose 6.0% year over year in September after rising 3.4% in August. Increases in Ontario and Alberta continued to lead the rise at the national level.
Yikes, is all I can say to that one. I must admit my electrical bill has been growing steadily for the past few years, and Ontario Hydro promises me that trend will continue, yea?!?
The Actual CPI basket of Goods cost increase over the past little while
This is important to have, as it points out that the CPI measurement is the cost of a basket of goods, that at the start of the index was at 100, and you see the steady increase in cost over time.
Bank of Canada’s core index
These numbers are very important, but of even more significance is how the Bank of Canada measures inflation, as this is the data they will use to decide whether interest rates need to rise or not:
The Bank of Canada’s core index rose 1.3% in the 12 months to September, following a 1.6% increase in August. The slower rate of increase was mostly attributable to smaller price increases for the purchase of passenger vehicles.
So the Bank still has little reason to increase interest rates due to inflation (for now).
The Big Table
Remember that the Stats Canada site has a plethora of really interesting statistics, so go read them and see where all the “talking heads” on TV base their interpretations of where we stand on inflation in Canada.
Consumer Price Index and major components, Canada – Not seasonally adjusted
2. Figures may not add to 100% as a result of rounding.
3. The Bank of Canada’s core index excludes eight of the Consumer Price Index’s most volatile components (fruit, fruit preparations and nuts; vegetables and vegetable preparations; mortgage interest cost; natural gas; fuel oil and other fuels; gasoline; inter-city transportation; and tobacco products and smokers’ supplies) as well as the effects of changes in indirect taxes on the remaining components. For additional information on the core CPI, please consult the Bank of Canada website (www.bankofcanada.ca/rates/indicators/key-variables/inflation-control-target/).
4. The special aggregate “Energy” includes: electricity; natural gas; fuel oil and other fuels; gasoline; and fuel, parts and supplies for recreational vehicles.
Things really don’t seem to be changing much this past little while do they?
Why are the rates staying the same? Here are some very good quotes from yesterday’s publication from the Bank of Canada:
“… The economic expansion in the United States continues at a gradual pace. Europe is in recession and its crisis, while contained, remains acute. In China and other major emerging economies, growth is decelerating somewhat more quickly than expected…”
OK, so the major markets of the world are not in very good shape, thus the danger of a massive spending spree (other than in China, where spending is slowing down), is not high.
“…In Canada, while global headwinds continue to restrain economic activity, underlying momentum remains at a pace roughly in line with the economy’s production potential. Economic growth is expected to pick up through 2013, with consumption and business investment continuing to be its principal drivers, reflecting very stimulative financial conditions. Business investment remains solid. There are tentative signs of slowing in household spending, although the household debt burden continues to rise….”
Global headwinds? I really love that turn of phrase, but more interestingly is the increase in household debt burden is now being spoken about by the central bank? Must be pretty bad, I guess?
Does this mean rates are going to stay down for now? I think so, but if there is an actual economic up turn in North America, all bets may be off.
Bank Rate (overnight) Since 2002, Pretty Low eh? And the Beat Goes On….
The graph stops at May, however, it is still the same as it was then, so you get the gist of things.