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Inflation Back to 1.0% for March in Canada

Our friends at Stats Canada published their monthly Consumer Price Index (for March 2013) Report, and with Gasoline prices moderating, we are back to inflation of 1.0% for the year ending in March 2013.

 

CPI with and Without Gasoline Over the Past Little While

Our friends at Stats Canada said:

The slower increase in the CPI was mainly the result of gasoline prices, which fell 0.3% on a year-over-year basis in March, after rising 3.9% in February. Provincially, gasoline prices declined year over year in seven provinces.

Never ceases to amaze me that gasoline prices are so random across Canada.

A nasty spike in Fresh Fruit ( 8.7% up) and Fresh Vegetables ( 7.2% up) too, which suggests we should all keep eating junk food ? (NO!)

As we can see the increase in the CPI over the past little while:

Seasonally Adjusted Inflation over the Past Little While

Bank of Canada’s core index

Remember that the Bank of Canada measures inflation is just a little bit different way, however, the good news is, it continues to be low (so one less reason to raise bank interest rates too):

The Bank of Canada’s core index rose 1.4% in the 12 months to March, matching the increase in February.

On a monthly basis, the seasonally adjusted core index increased 0.2% in March, after increasing 0.4% in February.

The Big Table

What are the big tables saying where are money is worse less? Just have a look at this one:

Consumer Price Index and major components, Canada – Not seasonally adjusted

Relative importance1 March 2012 February 2013 March 2013 February to March 2013 March 2012 to March 2013
% (2002=100) % change
All-items Consumer Price Index (CPI) 100.002 121.7 122.7 122.9 0.2 1.0
Food 16.60 130.0 132.9 132.4 -0.4 1.8
Shelter 26.26 126.6 127.9 128.0 0.1 1.1
Household operations, furnishings and equipment 12.66 112.7 114.3 114.7 0.3 1.8
Clothing and footwear 5.82 94.8 91.4 95.3 4.3 0.5
Transportation 19.98 129.5 130.3 129.5 -0.6 0.0
Health and personal care 4.93 118.3 118.6 118.3 -0.3 0.0
Recreation, education and reading 10.96 104.9 104.7 105.2 0.5 0.3
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco products 2.79 137.5 139.4 139.8 0.3 1.7
Special aggregates
Core CPI3 84.91 119.2 120.6 120.9 0.2 1.4
All-items CPI excluding energy 91.44 118.7 119.7 120.0 0.3 1.1
Energy4 8.56 159.5 160.1 159.9 -0.1 0.3
Gasoline 4.62 187.0 186.1 186.5 0.2 -0.3
All-items CPI excluding food and energy 74.85 116.1 116.9 117.2 0.3 0.9
Goods 48.18 114.8 115.2 115.4 0.2 0.5
Services 51.82 128.6 130.1 130.3 0.2 1.3
1. 2011 CPI basket weights at January 2013 prices, Canada, effective February 2013. Detailed weights are available under the Documentation section of survey 2301 (www.statcan.gc.ca/imdb-bmdi/2301-eng.htm).
2. Figures may not add to 100% as a result of rounding.
3. The Bank of Canada’s core index excludes eight of the Consumer Price Index’s most volatile components (fruit, fruit preparations and nuts; vegetables and vegetable preparations; mortgage interest cost; natural gas; fuel oil and other fuels; gasoline; inter-city transportation; and tobacco products and smokers’ supplies) as well as the effects of changes in indirect taxes on the remaining components. For additional information on the core CPI, please consult the Bank of Canada website (www.bankofcanada.ca/rates/indicators/key-variables/inflation-control-target/).
4. The special aggregate “Energy” includes: electricity; natural gas; fuel oil and other fuels; gasoline; and fuel, parts and supplies for recreational vehicles.

Feel Free to Comment

  1. >>>>Never ceases to amaze me that gasoline prices are so random across Canada.

    They seem pretty consistent regionally, if I drive around town they’re almost always exactly the same at ever station. But there must be a dividing line near us, because if we drive 15 minutes to the city east of us, gas will be 5-10cents a litre more than if we drive to the city 15 minutes to the west of us. I don’t recall every seeing that much of a price difference in such close proximity. We just remember to drive west to fill up :).

    And I still think gasoline prices are fixed and should be investigated. Remember when prices used to go up before long weekends and then there was a public outcry? Response from the industry was that it was pure coincidence. But prices haven’t been spiked before long weekends in the last few years.

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